Chuba Hubbard
DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PMGame log against Under 17.5
60%6 of 10L10
Under 17.5 Rushing Attempts hit in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 5.3–24.4 rushing attempts.
What's different on Sunday
Under 17.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Bryce Young led CAR in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Under 17.5 with Young at quarterback: 30 of 41; with another CAR quarterback: 3 of 6
Defense vs running backs
DEN allow 22.9 carries a game to running backs: 14th most of 32
8 games
Carries
Last 3: 19 carries · 2026: 16.9 (7 games)
Rest
9 days off since Oct 29 at GB
Splits
Under 17.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against DEN in his last 10; Under 17.5 hit in 1 of 1 against DEN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
Last vs DEN
Rushing Attempts: 15 in 15 carries, Oct 27, 2024 (away)
Under 17.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against DEN on record
L10 · Under 17.5
- Average
- 14
- −3.5 vs line
- Median
- 12.5
- −5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 56%
- at −129
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 53%
- estimate · fair −112
Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −112, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4553 books | — | 6/10 | |
| −2153 books | — | 6/10 | |
| −1144 books | −1292 books | 6/10 | |
| +1553 books | — | 7/10 | |
| +2653 books | — | 8/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 17.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 17.5 | Under 17.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX7 min ago | −114 | −114Best |
| Pinnacle9 min ago | −102Best | −129 |
| Bally Bet8 min ago | −114 | — |
| BetRivers8 min ago | −115 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 2:21 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
17.5−115 → −129 since first seen


