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Chuba Hubbard

Carolina Panthers · RB · #30

DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
OverUnder17.5
Under 17.5 Rushing Attempts, typical price −1294 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Under 17.5

60%6 of 10L10

Under 17.5 Rushing Attempts hit in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

  1. vs SEA, 2025-12-28: 4, hit, 4 carries
  2. at TB, 2026-01-03: 5, hit, 5 carries
  3. vs LAR, 2026-01-10: 13, hit, 13 carries
  4. vs CHI, 2026-09-13: 10, hit, 10 carries
  5. at ATL, 2026-09-20: 12, hit, 12 carries
  6. at CLE, 2026-09-27: 19, missed, 19 carries
  7. vs DET, 2026-10-04: 20, missed, 20 carries
  8. at PHI, 2026-10-18: 28, missed, 28 carries
  9. vs TB, 2026-10-25: 7, hit, 7 carries
  10. at GB, 2026-10-29: 22, missed, 22 carries
Under hitMissedThe 17.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 5.3–24.4 rushing attempts.

What's different on Sunday

Under 17.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Quarterback

    Bryce Young led CAR in passing in 7 of 7 games this season

    Under 17.5 with Young at quarterback: 30 of 41; with another CAR quarterback: 3 of 6

  • Defense vs running backs

    DEN allow 22.9 carries a game to running backs: 14th most of 32

    8 games

  • Carries

    Last 3: 19 carries · 2026: 16.9 (7 games)

  • Rest

    9 days off since Oct 29 at GB

Splits

Under 17.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DEN in his last 10; Under 17.5 hit in 1 of 1 against DEN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs DEN

Rushing Attempts: 15 in 15 carries, Oct 27, 2024 (away)

Under 17.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against DEN on record

L10 · Under 17.5

Average
14
−3.5 vs line
Median
12.5
−5 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
56%
at −129
Books’ fair
51%
margin removed
Our chance
53%
estimate · fair −112

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −112, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−4553 books—6/10
−2153 books—6/10
−1144 books−1292 books6/10
+1553 books—7/10
+2653 books—8/10
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 17.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 17.5 Rushing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 17.5Under 17.5
betPARX7 min ago−114−114Best
Pinnacle9 min ago−102Best−129
Bally Bet8 min ago−114—
BetRivers8 min ago−115—
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 2:21 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

17.5

−115 → −129 since first seen

Chuba Hubbard's full game log and splits