Chuba Hubbard
DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PMWhat's different tonight
Over 16.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTonightDefense vs running backs
DEN allow 48.4 receiving yards a game to running backs: 2nd most of 32
8 games
TonightTargets
Last 3: 5 targets · 2026: 3.7 (7 games) · up 35%
Target share: 14% last 3 games · 10% over 7 games this season
Quarterback
Bryce Young led CAR in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Over 16.5 with Young at quarterback: 13 of 39; with another CAR quarterback: 2 of 5
Rest
9 days off since Oct 29 at GB
Game log against Over 16.5
40%4 of 10L10
Over 16.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).
Splits
Over 16.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against DEN in his last 10; Over 16.5 cleared in 0 of 1 against DEN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
Last vs DEN
Receiving Yards: 15 in 2 targets, Oct 27, 2024 (away)
Over 16.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against DEN on record
L10 · Over 16.5
- Average
- 17.6
- +1.1 vs line
- Median
- 12
- −4.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −115
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 3.5
- 10 games · 2.7 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 16.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2754 books | — | 6/10 | |
| −1301 book | — | 4/10 | |
| −1172 books | −1122 books | 4/10 | |
| −1153 books | −1132 books | 4/10 | |
| +1174 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +1981 book | — | 4/10 | |
| +2754 books | — | 2/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 16.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 16.5 | Under 16.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet4 min ago | −115Best | — |
| betPARX4 min ago | −115Best | −113Best |
| BetRivers4 min ago | −117 | −114 |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:04 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
16.5−114 → −115 since first seen


