Chuba Hubbard

Carolina Panthers · RB · #30

DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under89.5

Under 89.5 Rush+Rec Yards, typical price −1153 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 89.5 Rush+Rec Yards hit in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

vs SEA, 2025-12-28: 18, hit, 7 carries + targets
at TB, 2026-01-03: 17, hit, 7 carries + targets
vs LAR, 2026-01-10: 59, hit, 17 carries + targets
vs CHI, 2026-09-13: 87, hit, 13 carries + targets
at ATL, 2026-09-20: 64, hit, 14 carries + targets
at CLE, 2026-09-27: 110, missed, 23 carries + targets
vs DET, 2026-10-04: 129, missed, 22 carries + targets
at PHI, 2026-10-18: 121, missed, 30 carries + targets
vs TB, 2026-10-25: 60, hit, 12 carries + targets
at GB, 2026-10-29: 119, missed, 30 carries + targets

Under hitMissedThe 89.5 lineCarries + targets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 46.1–118.5 rush+rec yards.

What's different on Sunday

Under 89.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

SunDefense vs running backs
DEN allow 148.1 rushing + receiving yards a game to running backs: 3rd most of 32
8 games
Quarterback
Bryce Young led CAR in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Under 89.5 with Young at quarterback: 29 of 42; with another CAR quarterback: 2 of 6
Carries + targets
Last 3: 24 carries + targets · 2026: 20.6 (7 games)
Target share: 14% last 3 games · 10% over 7 games this season
Rest
9 days off since Oct 29 at GB

Splits

Under 89.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DEN in his last 10; Under 89.5 hit in 1 of 1 against DEN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs DEN

Rush+Rec Yards: 71 in 17 carries + targets, Oct 27, 2024 (away)

Under 89.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against DEN on record

L10 · Under 89.5

Average: 78.4; −11.1 vs line
Median: 75.5; −14 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −115
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 51%; estimate · fair −104

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −104, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2403 books	—	5/10
−1143 books	−1152 books	6/10
−1141 book	−1141 book	6/10
−1151 book	−1151 book	6/10
+1353 books	—	6/10
+3403 books	—	9/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 89.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 89.5 Rush+Rec Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 89.5	Under 89.5
betPARX5 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
BetRivers5 min ago	−115	−115
Bally Bet6 min ago	−114Best	—

Prices as of 1:31 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

89.5

90.5 → 89.5 since first seen