Chase Brown

Cincinnati Bengals · RB · #30

PIT @ CIN · Sun, Nov 15 8:20 PM

Over Under43.5

Over 43.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1185 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 43.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

vs ARI, 2025-12-28: 101, cleared, 22 carries
vs CLE, 2026-01-04: 72, cleared, 13 carries
vs TB, 2026-09-13: 56, cleared, 16 carries
at HOU, 2026-09-20: 80, cleared, 20 carries
at PIT, 2026-09-27: 61, cleared, 13 carries
vs JAX, 2026-10-04: 10, missed, 9 carries
at MIA, 2026-10-11: 39, missed, 13 carries
at BAL, 2026-10-25: 39, missed, 11 carries
vs TEN, 2026-11-01: 55, cleared, 12 carries
at ATL, 2026-11-08: 57, cleared, 9 carries

ClearedMissedThe 43.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 20.5–76.9 rushing yards.

What's different on Sunday

Over 43.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Joe Burrow led CIN in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 43.5 with Burrow at quarterback: 22 of 31; with another CIN quarterback: 6 of 16
Defense vs running backs
PIT allow 70.0 rushing yards a game to running backs: 29th most of 32
8 games
Carries
Last 3: 10.7 carries · 2026: 12.9 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 at ATL

Splits

Over 43.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs PIT

Rushing Yards: 61 in 13 carries, Sep 27 (away)

Over 43.5 hit in 4 of 5 games against PIT on record

L10 · Over 43.5

Average: 57; +13.5 vs line
Median: 56.5; +13 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 54%; at −118
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 55%; estimate · fair −124

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −124, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5001 book	—	9/10
−3604 books	—	9/10
−1574 books	—	7/10
−1185 books	−1144 books	7/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	7/10
—	—	7/10
+1254 books	—	7/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 43.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 43.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 43.5	Under 43.5
FanDuel1 min ago	−114Best	−114
Pinnacle2 min ago	−114Best	−114
Bally Bet2 min ago	−118	—
betPARX2 min ago	−118	−110Best
BetRivers2 min ago	−118	−112
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:23 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

43.5

−114 → −118 since first seen