Chase Brown
CIN @ ATL · Sun, Nov 8 9:30 AM
Game log against Over 79.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 79.5 Rush+Rec Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).
What's different on Sunday
Over 79.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Joe Burrow led CIN in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Over 79.5 with Burrow at quarterback: 17 of 30; with another CIN quarterback: 6 of 16
Defense vs running backs
ATL allow 144.3 rushing + receiving yards a game to running backs: 7th most of 32
8 games
Carries + targets
Last 3: 18 carries + targets · 2026: 19.4 (7 games)
Target share: 16% last 3 games · 16% over 7 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs TEN
Splits
Over 79.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 79.5
- Average
- 86.9
- +7.4 vs line
- Median
- 81.5
- +2 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 50%
- at +102
- Books’ fair
- 49%
- margin removed
- Carries + targets
- 19.6
- 10 games · 18.8 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 79.5 49%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2863 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −1623 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −1253 books | −1152 books | 7/10 | |
| −1151 book | −1131 book | 7/10 | |
| — | — | 6/10 | |
| +1024 books | −1201 book | 6/10 | |
| +1603 books | — | 4/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks at 79.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 79.5 | Under 79.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet4 min ago | +102Best | — |
| betPARX4 min ago | +102Best | — |
| BetRivers4 min ago | +102Best | — |
| Bovada4 min ago | −110 | −120Best |
Prices as of 6:44 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
79.5−115 → +102 since first seen