CeeDee Lamb

Dallas Cowboys · WR · #88

SF @ DAL · Sun, Nov 15 4:25 PM

Over Under89.5

Under 89.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1155 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 89.5 Receiving Yards hit in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).

at NYG, 2026-01-04: 4, hit, 1 targets
at NYG, 2026-09-13: 44, hit, 8 targets
vs WSH, 2026-09-20: 153, missed, 9 targets
vs BAL, 2026-09-27: 112, missed, 8 targets
at HOU, 2026-10-04: 189, missed, 21 targets
vs TB, 2026-10-08: 9, hit, 5 targets
at GB, 2026-10-18: 70, hit, 18 targets
at PHI, 2026-10-26: 74, hit, 12 targets
vs ARI, 2026-11-01: 58, hit, 11 targets
at IND, 2026-11-08: 195, missed, 16 targets

Under hitMissedThe 89.5 lineTargets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 0.5–169.2 receiving yards.

What's different on Sunday

Under 89.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Dak Prescott led DAL in passing in 9 of 9 games this season
Under 89.5 with Prescott at quarterback: 19 of 38; with another DAL quarterback: 5 of 9
Defense vs wide receivers
SF allow 122.6 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 27th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 13 targets · 2026: 12 (9 games)
Target share: 43% last 3 games · 32% over 9 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 at IND

Splits

Under 89.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against SF in his last 10; Under 89.5 hit in 0 of 1 against SF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs SF

Receiving Yards: 146 in 17 targets, Oct 27, 2024 (away)

Under 89.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against SF on record

L10 · Under 89.5

Average: 90.8; +1.3 vs line
Median: 72; −17.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −115
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 52%; estimate · fair −109

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −109, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2754 books	—	4/10
−1754 books	—	6/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	6/10
−1155 books	−1153 books	6/10
−1141 book	−1141 book	6/10
−1151 book	−1151 book	6/10
+1284 books	—	6/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 89.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 89.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 89.5	Under 89.5
betPARX3 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
BetRivers3 min ago	−115	−115
Pinnacle3 min ago	−115	−115
Bally Bet3 min ago	−114Best	—
FanDuel3 min ago	−118	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:41 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

89.5

−114 → −115 since first seen