Calvin Ridley

Tennessee Titans · WR · #0

JAX @ TEN · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under10.5

Over 10.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1343 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 10.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 3 at home).

at HOU, 2025-09-28: 30, cleared, 3 targets
at ARI, 2025-10-05: 131, cleared, 10 targets
at LV, 2025-10-12: 18, cleared, 1 targets
vs HOU, 2025-11-16: 13, cleared, 1 targets
vs PHI, 2026-09-20: 35, cleared, 2 targets
at NYG, 2026-09-27: 0, missed, 1 targets
at BAL, 2026-10-04: 13, cleared, 2 targets
vs HOU, 2026-10-11: 33, cleared, 3 targets
at IND, 2026-10-18: 0, missed, 2 targets
at CIN, 2026-11-01: 10, missed, 3 targets

ClearedMissedThe 10.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 10.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Cam Ward led TEN in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 10.5 with Ward at quarterback: 10 of 13; with another TEN quarterback: 14 of 17
Defense vs wide receivers
JAX allow 174.5 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 5th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 2.7 targets · 2026: 2.2 (6 games)
Target share: 8% last 3 games · 7% over 6 games this season
Rest
13 days off since Nov 1 at CIN

Splits

Over 10.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against JAX in his last 10; Over 10.5 cleared in 2 of 2 against JAX on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs JAX

Ridley didn't play the Jan 4 meeting; receiving yards the last time Ridley faced them: 84 (Dec 29, 2024)

Over 10.5 hit in 2 of 2 games against JAX on record

L10 · Over 10.5

Average: 28.3; +17.8 vs line
Median: 15.5; +5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 57%; at −134
Books’ fair: 52%; margin removed
Targets: 2.8; 10 games · 5.1 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 10.5 52%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1433 books	—	8/10
−1343 books	−1082 books	7/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	7/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 10.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 10.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 10.5	Under 10.5
Bally Bet7 min ago	−134Best	—
betPARX7 min ago	−134Best	−108Best
BetRivers7 min ago	−134Best	−108Best

Prices as of 5:45 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

10.5

12.5 → 10.5 since first seen