Calvin Ridley

Tennessee Titans · WR · #0

JAX @ TEN · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Receptions, typical price +1453 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Receptions cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 3 at home).

at HOU, 2025-09-28: 2, cleared, 3 targets
at ARI, 2025-10-05: 5, cleared, 10 targets
at LV, 2025-10-12: 1, missed, 1 targets
vs HOU, 2025-11-16: 1, missed, 1 targets
vs PHI, 2026-09-20: 2, cleared, 2 targets
at NYG, 2026-09-27: 0, missed, 1 targets
at BAL, 2026-10-04: 1, missed, 2 targets
vs HOU, 2026-10-11: 2, cleared, 3 targets
at IND, 2026-10-18: 0, missed, 2 targets
at CIN, 2026-11-01: 1, missed, 3 targets

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Cam Ward led TEN in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 1.5 with Ward at quarterback: 6 of 13; with another TEN quarterback: 14 of 17
Defense vs wide receivers
JAX allow 12.5 receptions a game to wide receivers: 9th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 2.7 targets · 2026: 2.2 (6 games)
Target share: 8% last 3 games · 7% over 6 games this season
Rest
13 days off since Nov 1 at CIN

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against JAX in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 2 of 2 against JAX on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs JAX

Ridley didn't play the Jan 4 meeting; receptions the last time Ridley faced them: 5 (Dec 29, 2024)

Over 1.5 hit in 2 of 2 games against JAX on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 41%; at +145
Books’ fair: 37%; margin removed
Targets: 2.8; 10 games · 5.1 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 37%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
pick'em only	pick'em only	8/10
+1453 books	−2201 book	4/10
+4303 books	—	1/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Bally Bet5 min ago	+145Best	—
betPARX5 min ago	+145Best	−220Best
BetRivers5 min ago	+145Best	—

Prices as of 6:25 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

0.5 → 1.5 since first seen