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Caleb Williams

Chicago Bears · QB · #18

TB @ CHI · Sun, Nov 8 8:20 PM
OverUnder0.5
Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns, typical price +3102 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different on Sunday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Back from an absence

    Sunday's game is his 4th back after missing 3 games in a row (Sep 28 – Oct 11)

    Over 0.5 since: 0 of 3

  • Carries + targets

    Last 3: 3.7 carries + targets · 2026: 5.2 (5 games)

  • Rest

    5 days off since Nov 2 at SEA

  • Game lines

    CHI −6 · total 47.5 (8 sportsbooks)

    CHI's games this season closed at 46.8 on average (8 games)

Game log against Over 0.5

10%1 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 1 of his last 10 games (0 of 6 at home).

  1. vs GB, 2025-12-20: 0, missed, 3 carries + targets
  2. at SF, 2025-12-28: 0, missed, 5 carries + targets
  3. vs DET, 2026-01-04: 0, missed, 1 carries + targets
  4. vs GB, 2026-01-10: 0, missed, 4 carries + targets
  5. vs LAR, 2026-01-18: 0, missed, 5 carries + targets
  6. at CAR, 2026-09-13: 2, cleared, 10 carries + targets
  7. vs MIN, 2026-09-20: 0, missed, 5 carries + targets
  8. at ATL, 2026-10-18: 0, missed, 4 carries + targets
  9. vs NE, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 5 carries + targets
  10. at SEA, 2026-11-02: 0, missed, 2 carries + targets
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineCarries + targets

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TB on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 0.5

Average
0.2
−0.3 vs line
Median
0
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
10%
1 of 10
Price implies
24%
at +310
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Carries + targets
4.4
10 games · 4.6 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
+3102 bookspick'em only1/10
+30002 books—1/10
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Total Touchdowns, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
Bovada1 min ago+320Best—
FanDuel1 min ago+310—
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 2:24 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +320 → +310 since first seen

Caleb Williams's full game log and splits