Caleb Williams
TB @ CHI · Sun, Nov 8 8:20 PM
What's different on Sunday
Over 16.5 · facts from past games, not a pickBack from an absence
Sunday's game is his 4th back after missing 3 games in a row (Sep 28 – Oct 11)
Over 16.5 since: 1 of 3
Defense vs quarterbacks
TB allow 10.6 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks: 25th most of 32
8 games
Carries
Last 3: 3.7 carries · 2026: 5.2 (5 games)
Rest
5 days off since Nov 2 at SEA
Game log against Over 16.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 16.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 at home).
Splits
Over 16.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against TB on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 16.5
- Average
- 23.8
- +7.3 vs line
- Median
- 19
- +2.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- —
- 1 pick'em app, no price
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Carries
- 4.4
- 10 games · 4.5 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 1 pick'em app (a pick'em line, no price).
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 7/10 |
Compare 1 pick'em app at 16.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 16.5 | Under 16.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 1:14 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
16.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.