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Caleb Williams

Chicago Bears · QB · #18

TB @ CHI · Sun, Nov 8 8:20 PM
OverUnder249.5
Over 249.5 Passing Yards, typical price −1344 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different on Sunday

Over 249.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Back from an absence

    Sunday's game is his 4th back after missing 3 games in a row (Sep 28 – Oct 11)

    Over 249.5 since: 2 of 3

  • Defense vs quarterbacks

    TB allow 220.1 passing yards a game to quarterbacks: 24th most of 32

    8 games

  • Pass attempts

    Last 3: 34.3 attempts · 2026: 31.6 (5 games)

  • Rest

    5 days off since Nov 2 at SEA

Game log against Over 249.5

70%7 of 10L10

Over 249.5 Passing Yards cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).

  1. vs GB, 2025-12-20: 250, cleared, 34 attempts
  2. at SF, 2025-12-28: 330, cleared, 42 attempts
  3. vs DET, 2026-01-04: 212, missed, 33 attempts
  4. vs GB, 2026-01-10: 361, cleared, 48 attempts
  5. vs LAR, 2026-01-18: 257, cleared, 42 attempts
  6. at CAR, 2026-09-13: 269, cleared, 29 attempts
  7. vs MIN, 2026-09-20: 138, missed, 26 attempts
  8. at ATL, 2026-10-18: 305, cleared, 36 attempts
  9. vs NE, 2026-10-22: 308, cleared, 33 attempts
  10. at SEA, 2026-11-02: 247, missed, 34 attempts
ClearedMissedThe 249.5 linePass attempts

Splits

Over 249.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TB on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 249.5

Average
267.7
+18.2 vs line
Median
263
+13.5 vs line
Hit rate
70%
7 of 10
Price implies
57%
at −134
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Pass attempts
35.7
10 games · 34.6 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−1141 book−1141 book8/10
−1151 book−1151 book8/10
pick'em onlypick'em only7/10
−1344 books—7/10
−1151 book−1151 book6/10
−1133 books−1172 books6/10
+1484 books—4/10
Compare 4 sportsbooks at 249.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 249.5 Passing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 249.5Under 249.5
FanDuel5 min ago−102Best—
Bally Bet5 min ago−134—
betPARX5 min ago−134—
BetRivers5 min ago−134—

Prices as of 11:57 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

249.5

250.5 → 249.5 since first seen

Caleb Williams's full game log and splits