Caleb Williams
TB @ CHI · Sun, Nov 8 8:20 PM
What's different on Sunday
Over 249.5 · facts from past games, not a pickBack from an absence
Sunday's game is his 4th back after missing 3 games in a row (Sep 28 – Oct 11)
Over 249.5 since: 2 of 3
Defense vs quarterbacks
TB allow 220.1 passing yards a game to quarterbacks: 24th most of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 34.3 attempts · 2026: 31.6 (5 games)
Rest
5 days off since Nov 2 at SEA
Game log against Over 249.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 249.5 Passing Yards cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).
Splits
Over 249.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against TB on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 249.5
- Average
- 267.7
- +18.2 vs line
- Median
- 263
- +13.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 58%
- at −136
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Pass attempts
- 35.7
- 10 games · 34.6 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 249.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2864 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1142 books | −1142 books | 8/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 7/10 | |
| −1365 books | −1151 book | 7/10 | |
| −1153 books | −1142 books | 6/10 | |
| +1434 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +2704 books | — | 4/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks at 249.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 249.5 | Under 249.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel1 min ago | −104Best | — |
| Bovada1 min ago | −115 | −115Best |
| Bally Bet1 min ago | −136 | — |
| betPARX1 min ago | −136 | — |
| BetRivers1 min ago | −136 | — |
Prices as of 2:29 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
249.5−115 → −136 since first seen