Caleb Williams
TB @ CHI · Sun, Nov 8 8:20 PM
What's different on Sunday
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickBack from an absence
Sunday's game is his 4th back after missing 3 games in a row (Sep 28 – Oct 11)
Over 1.5 since: 1 of 3
Defense vs quarterbacks
TB allow 1.25 passing touchdowns a game to quarterbacks: 23rd most of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 34.3 attempts · 2026: 31.6 (5 games)
Rest
5 days off since Nov 2 at SEA
Game log against Over 1.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 1.5 Passing TDs cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 at home).
Splits
Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against TB on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 1.6
- +0.1 vs line
- Median
- 2
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 58%
- at −136
- Books’ fair
- 56%
- margin removed
- Pass attempts
- 35.7
- 10 games · 34.6 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 56%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −10004 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −1365 books | +1044 books | 7/10 | |
| +2954 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +11004 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet4 min ago | −134Best | — |
| betPARX4 min ago | −134Best | +104 |
| BetRivers4 min ago | −136 | +102 |
| FanDuel4 min ago | −148 | +112 |
| Bovada4 min ago | −170 | +130Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:51 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Over −138 → −136 since first seen