Caleb Williams
TB @ CHI · Sun, Nov 8 8:20 PM
Game log against Over 269.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 269.5 Pass+Rush Yards cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).
What's different on Sunday
Over 269.5 · facts from past games, not a pickBack from an absence
Sunday's game is his 4th back after missing 3 games in a row (Sep 28 – Oct 11)
Over 269.5 since: 2 of 3
Pass attempts + carries
Last 3: 38 attempts + carries · 2026: 36.8 (5 games)
Rest
5 days off since Nov 2 at SEA
Game lines
CHI −6 · total 47.5 (8 sportsbooks)
CHI's games this season closed at 46.8 on average (8 games)
Splits
Over 269.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against TB on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 269.5
- Average
- 291.5
- +22 vs line
- Median
- 302.5
- +33 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −115
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Pass attempts + carries
- 40.1
- 10 games · 39.2 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 269.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −5303 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −2353 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −1151 book | −1151 book | 7/10 | |
| −1143 books | −1152 books | 7/10 | |
| +1653 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +3103 books | — | 4/10 |
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 269.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 269.5 | Under 269.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada8 min ago | −115Best | −115Best |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 4:45 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
269.5274.5 → 269.5 since first seen