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Caleb Douglas

Miami Dolphins · WR · #7

MIA @ IND · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM
OverUnder41.5
Over 41.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1142 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 41.5

80%4 of 5L5

Over 41.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 4 of his last 5 games (2 of 3 on the road).

  1. at LV, 2026-09-13: 94, cleared, 7 targets
  2. at SF, 2026-09-20: 19, missed, 3 targets
  3. at NYJ, 2026-10-25: 70, cleared, 3 targets
  4. vs NE, 2026-11-01: 43, cleared, 6 targets
  5. vs DET, 2026-11-08: 70, cleared, 8 targets
ClearedMissedThe 41.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 41.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

All 3 of his last 3 came with Malik Willis at quarterback; Willis is out on Sunday. Without him (MIA): Over 41.5 in no games.

  • SunQuarterback

    Malik Willis: Injured Reserve (abdomen). He led MIA in passing in 8 of 8 games this season

    Over 41.5 with Willis at quarterback: 4 of 5; with another MIA quarterback: no games

  • Back from an absence

    Sunday's game is his 4th back after missing 3 games in a row (Sep 27 – Oct 11)

    Over 41.5 since: 3 of 3

  • Defense vs wide receivers

    IND allow 146.0 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 18th most of 32

    9 games

  • Targets

    Last 3: 5.7 targets · 2026: 5.4 (5 games)

    Target share: 22% last 3 games · 21% over 5 games this season

Splits

Over 41.5 · L5 · counts, not in order

No game against IND on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs IND

Douglas didn't play the Sep 7, 2025 meeting

L5 · Over 41.5

Average
59.2
+17.7 vs line
Median
70
+28.5 vs line
Hit rate
80%
4 of 5
Price implies
53%
at −114
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Targets
5.4
5 games

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 41.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L5
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL5
−2301 book—4/5
−1301 book—4/5
——4/5
−1142 books−1142 books4/5
pick'em onlypick'em only3/5
+1301 book—3/5
+1981 book—3/5
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 41.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 41.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 41.5Under 41.5
FanDuel14 min ago−114Best−114Best
Pinnacle15 min ago−114Best−114Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 6:22 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

41.5

No move since first seen

Caleb Douglas's full game log and splits