Caleb Douglas
MIA @ IND · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM
Game log against Over 3.5
60%3 of 5L5
Over 3.5 Receptions cleared in 3 of his last 5 games (1 of 3 on the road).
What's different on Sunday
Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pickSunQuarterback
Malik Willis: Injured Reserve (abdomen). He led MIA in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 3.5 with Willis at quarterback: 3 of 5; with another MIA quarterback: no games
Back from an absence
Sunday's game is his 4th back after missing 3 games in a row (Sep 27 – Oct 11)
Over 3.5 since: 2 of 3
Defense vs wide receivers
IND allow 9.8 receptions a game to wide receivers: 28th most of 32
9 games
Targets
Last 3: 5.7 targets · 2026: 5.4 (5 games)
Target share: 22% last 3 games · 21% over 5 games this season
Splits
Over 3.5 · L5 · counts, not in orderNo game against IND on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
Last vs IND
Douglas didn't play the Sep 7, 2025 meeting
L5 · Over 3.5
- Average
- 3.8
- +0.3 vs line
- Median
- 4
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 3 of 5
- Price implies
- 50%
- at +102
- Books’ fair
- 46%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 5.4
- 5 games
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 46%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L5| Line | Over | Under | L5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −8001 book | — | 5/5 | |
| −2451 book | — | 3/5 | |
| +1022 books | −1362 books | 3/5 | |
| +2201 book | — | 2/5 | |
| +4301 book | — | 1/5 | |
| +8501 book | — | 0/5 | |
| +14001 book | — | 0/5 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel6 min ago | +102Best | −136Best |
| Pinnacle7 min ago | +102Best | −136Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:12 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
3.5Over: No move since first seen