C.J. Stroud

Houston Texans · QB · #7

HOU @ CLE · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under256.5

Over 256.5 Pass+Rush Yards, typical price −1143 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 256.5 Pass+Rush Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).

at PIT, 2026-01-12: 250, missed, 33 attempts + carries
at NE, 2026-01-18: 223, missed, 49 attempts + carries
vs BUF, 2026-09-13: 289, cleared, 40 attempts + carries
vs CIN, 2026-09-20: 382, cleared, 58 attempts + carries
at IND, 2026-09-27: 177, missed, 29 attempts + carries
vs DAL, 2026-10-04: 359, cleared, 33 attempts + carries
at TEN, 2026-10-11: 266, cleared, 40 attempts + carries
at JAX, 2026-10-18: 317, cleared, 35 attempts + carries
vs NYG, 2026-10-25: 157, missed, 30 attempts + carries
at LAC, 2026-11-08: 404, cleared, 37 attempts + carries

ClearedMissedThe 256.5 linePass attempts + carries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 155.1–388.2 pass+rush yards.

What's different on Sunday

Over 256.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Pass attempts + carries
Last 3: 34 attempts + carries · 2026: 37.8 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 at LAC
Game lines
HOU −5 · total 41.5 (7 sportsbooks)
HOU's games this season closed at 43.1 on average (8 games)
CLE injuries
Carson Schwesinger (LB, Questionable, 9.8 tackles); Quincy Williams (LB, Questionable, 6.5 tackles); Ronnie Hickman (S, Questionable, 6.5 tackles)
A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10) · 2 more on the report

Splits

Over 256.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CLE in his last 10; Over 256.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against CLE on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs CLE

Pass+Rush Yards: 275 in 22 attempts + carries, Jan 13, 2024 (home)

Over 256.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against CLE on record

L10 · Over 256.5

Average: 282.4; +25.9 vs line
Median: 277.5; +21 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −132

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −132, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−6703 books	—	8/10
−2863 books	—	7/10
−1373 books	—	7/10
−1143 books	−1152 books	6/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	6/10
−1151 book	−1151 book	6/10
+1383 books	—	5/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 256.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 256.5 Pass+Rush Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 256.5	Under 256.5
Bally Bet1 min ago	−114Best	—
betPARX1 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
BetRivers1 min ago	−115	−115

Prices as of 6:23 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

256.5

252.5 → 256.5 since first seen