Bucky Irving

Tampa Bay Buccaneers · RB · #7

TB @ CHI · Sun, Nov 8 8:20 PM

Over Under15.5

Over 15.5 Rushing Attempts, typical price −1224 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 15.5 Rushing Attempts cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).

at MIA, 2025-12-28: 9, missed, 9 carries
vs CAR, 2026-01-03: 26, cleared, 26 carries
at CIN, 2026-09-13: 8, missed, 8 carries
vs CLE, 2026-09-20: 17, cleared, 17 carries
vs MIN, 2026-09-27: 15, missed, 15 carries
vs GB, 2026-10-04: 16, cleared, 16 carries
at DAL, 2026-10-08: 21, cleared, 21 carries
vs PIT, 2026-10-18: 19, cleared, 19 carries
at CAR, 2026-10-25: 24, cleared, 24 carries
vs ATL, 2026-11-01: 27, cleared, 27 carries

ClearedMissedThe 15.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 8.4–23.4 rushing attempts.

What's different on Sunday

Over 15.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

SunDefense vs running backs
CHI allow 17.0 carries a game to running backs: the fewest of 32
8 games
Quarterback
Baker Mayfield led TB in passing in 5 of 8 games this season
Also led: Jalon Daniels 3. Over 15.5 with Mayfield at quarterback: 14 of 33; with another TB quarterback: 3 of 3
Carries
Last 3: 23.3 carries · 2026: 18.4 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs ATL

Splits

Over 15.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 15.5

Average: 18.2; +2.7 vs line
Median: 18; +2.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −122
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −132

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −132, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−6703 books	—	8/10
−2653 books	—	8/10
−1224 books	−1142 books	7/10
+1603 books	—	5/10
+2853 books	—	4/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 15.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 15.5 Rushing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 15.5	Under 15.5
Pinnacle3 min ago	−114Best	−114
Bally Bet3 min ago	−122	—
betPARX3 min ago	−122	−107Best
BetRivers3 min ago	−124	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:40 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

15.5

14.5 → 15.5 since first seen