Bucky Irving
TB @ CHI · Sun, Nov 8 8:20 PM
What's different on Sunday
Over 83.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Baker Mayfield led TB in passing in 5 of 8 games this season
Also led: Jalon Daniels 3. Over 83.5 with Mayfield at quarterback: 18 of 33; with another TB quarterback: 1 of 3
Defense vs running backs
CHI allow 104.6 rushing + receiving yards a game to running backs: 27th most of 32
8 games
Carries + targets
Last 3: 25 carries + targets · 2026: 21.3 (8 games)
Target share: 9% last 2 games · 13% over 6 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs ATL
Game log against Over 83.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 83.5 Rush+Rec Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).
Splits
Over 83.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against CHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 83.5
- Average
- 93.7
- +10.2 vs line
- Median
- 91.5
- +8 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- —
- 1 pick'em app, no price
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Carries + targets
- 21.3
- 10 games · 20.8 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 1 pick'em app (a pick'em line, no price).
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 6/10 |
Compare 1 pick'em app at 83.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 83.5 | Under 83.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 2:24 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
83.582.5 → 83.5 since we started recording it