Bucky Irving

Tampa Bay Buccaneers · RB · #7

TB @ CHI · Sun, Nov 8 8:20 PM

Over Under80.5

Over 80.5 Rush+Rec Yards, typical price −1133 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 80.5 Rush+Rec Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

at MIA, 2025-12-28: 33, missed, 15 carries + targets
vs CAR, 2026-01-03: 98, cleared, 28 carries + targets
at CIN, 2026-09-13: 93, cleared, 15 carries + targets
vs CLE, 2026-09-20: 90, cleared, 21 carries + targets
vs MIN, 2026-09-27: 58, missed, 19 carries + targets
vs GB, 2026-10-04: 61, missed, 16 carries + targets
at DAL, 2026-10-08: 175, cleared, 24 carries + targets
vs PIT, 2026-10-18: 49, missed, 22 carries + targets
at CAR, 2026-10-25: 110, cleared, 26 carries + targets
vs ATL, 2026-11-01: 170, cleared, 27 carries + targets

ClearedMissedThe 80.5 lineCarries + targets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 21.8–146.8 rush+rec yards.

What's different on Sunday

Over 80.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Baker Mayfield led TB in passing in 5 of 8 games this season
Also led: Jalon Daniels 3. Over 80.5 with Mayfield at quarterback: 21 of 33; with another TB quarterback: 1 of 3
Defense vs running backs
CHI allow 104.6 rushing + receiving yards a game to running backs: 27th most of 32
8 games
Carries + targets
Last 3: 25 carries + targets · 2026: 21.3 (8 games)
Target share: 9% last 2 games · 13% over 6 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs ATL

Splits

Over 80.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 80.5

Average: 93.7; +13.2 vs line
Median: 91.5; +11 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −113
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 53%; estimate · fair −115

Research, not a pick. At −113 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −115, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1553 books	—	6/10
−1133 books	−1172 books	6/10
−1141 book	−1141 book	6/10
—	—	6/10
+2103 books	—	3/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 80.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 80.5 Rush+Rec Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 80.5	Under 80.5
Bally Bet11 min ago	−113Best	—
betPARX11 min ago	−113Best	−115Best
BetRivers11 min ago	−114	−117

Prices as of 10:07 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

80.5

81.5 → 80.5 since first seen