Bryce Young

Carolina Panthers · QB · #9

CAR @ NO · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Passing TDs, typical price −1256 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Passing TDs cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

at TB, 2026-01-03: 2, cleared, 35 attempts
vs LAR, 2026-01-10: 1, missed, 40 attempts
vs CHI, 2026-09-13: 3, cleared, 37 attempts
at ATL, 2026-09-20: 3, cleared, 36 attempts
at CLE, 2026-09-27: 1, missed, 48 attempts
vs DET, 2026-10-04: 2, cleared, 41 attempts
at PHI, 2026-10-18: 2, cleared, 39 attempts
vs TB, 2026-10-25: 1, missed, 27 attempts
at GB, 2026-10-29: 1, missed, 41 attempts
vs DEN, 2026-11-08: 3, cleared, 39 attempts

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linePass attempts

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 0–3 passing tds.

What's different on Sunday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs quarterbacks
NO allow 1.63 passing touchdowns a game to quarterbacks: 11th most of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 35.7 attempts · 2026: 38.5 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs DEN
Game lines
CAR +2 · total 48.5 (7 sportsbooks)
CAR's games this season closed at 45.1 on average (8 games)

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NO in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 0 of 5 against NO on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs NO

Passing TDs: 1 in 24 attempts, Dec 14, 2025 (away)

Over 1.5 hit in 0 of 5 games against NO on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.9; +0.4 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 56%; at −125
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Our chance: 53%; estimate · fair −114

Research, not a pick. At −117 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −114, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−7501 book	—	10/10
−1256 books	−1055 books	6/10
+3104 books	—	3/10
+10004 books	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Passing TDs, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Bally Bet3 min ago	−117Best	—
betPARX3 min ago	−117Best	−124
BetRivers3 min ago	−117Best	−124
Bovada3 min ago	−125	−105
FanDuel3 min ago	−128	−104
Pinnacle4 min ago	−128	−102Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:39 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: −120 → −125 since first seen