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Bryce Young

Carolina Panthers · QB · #9

CAR @ NO · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM
OverUnder244.5
Over 244.5 Passing Yards, typical price −1143 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 244.5

80%8 of 10L10

Over 244.5 Passing Yards cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

  1. at TB, 2026-01-03: 266, cleared, 35 attempts
  2. vs LAR, 2026-01-10: 264, cleared, 40 attempts
  3. vs CHI, 2026-09-13: 361, cleared, 37 attempts
  4. at ATL, 2026-09-20: 287, cleared, 36 attempts
  5. at CLE, 2026-09-27: 291, cleared, 48 attempts
  6. vs DET, 2026-10-04: 329, cleared, 41 attempts
  7. at PHI, 2026-10-18: 281, cleared, 39 attempts
  8. vs TB, 2026-10-25: 163, missed, 27 attempts
  9. at GB, 2026-10-29: 209, missed, 41 attempts
  10. vs DEN, 2026-11-08: 276, cleared, 39 attempts
ClearedMissedThe 244.5 linePass attempts

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 168.1–329.2 passing yards.

What's different on Sunday

Over 244.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Defense vs quarterbacks

    NO allow 255.6 passing yards a game to quarterbacks: 4th most of 32

    8 games

  • Pass attempts

    Last 3: 35.7 attempts · 2026: 38.5 (8 games)

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 8 vs DEN

  • Game lines

    CAR +2.5 · total 48.5 (6 sportsbooks)

    CAR's games this season closed at 45.1 on average (8 games)

Splits

Over 244.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NO in his last 10; Over 244.5 cleared in 0 of 5 against NO on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs NO

Passing Yards: 163 in 24 attempts, Dec 14, 2025 (away)

Over 244.5 hit in 0 of 5 games against NO on record

L10 · Over 244.5

Average
272.7
+28.2 vs line
Median
278.5
+34 vs line
Hit rate
80%
8 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −114
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Our chance
55%
estimate · fair −123

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −123, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−7001 book—9/10
−3501 book—9/10
−2354 books—8/10
−1143 books−1143 books8/10
pick'em onlypick'em only8/10
−1184 books−1222 books8/10
+1554 books—6/10
Compare 3 sportsbooks at 244.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 244.5 Passing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 244.5Under 244.5
FanDuel7 min ago−114Best−114Best
Pinnacle7 min ago−114Best−114Best
Bovada7 min ago−115−115

Prices as of 6:15 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

244.5

248.5 → 244.5 since first seen

Bryce Young's full game log and splits