Bryce Young
CAR @ NO · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PMGame log against Over 36.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 36.5 Passing Attempts cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 28.2–43.6 passing attempts.
What's different on Sunday
Over 36.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs quarterbacks
NO allow 32.6 pass attempts a game to quarterbacks: 18th most of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 35.7 attempts · 2026: 38.5 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs DEN
Game lines
CAR +2 · total 48.5 (7 sportsbooks)
CAR's games this season closed at 45.1 on average (8 games)
Splits
Over 36.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against NO in his last 10; Over 36.5 cleared in 0 of 5 against NO on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
Last vs NO
Passing Attempts: 24 in 24 attempts, Dec 14, 2025 (away)
Over 36.5 hit in 0 of 5 games against NO on record
L10 · Over 36.5
- Average
- 38.3
- +1.8 vs line
- Median
- 39
- +2.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −114
- Books’ fair
- 49%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 53%
- estimate · fair −114
Research, not a pick. At −105 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −114, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3753 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −2203 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −1413 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1144 books | −1273 books | 7/10 | |
| +1083 books | — | 6/10 | |
| +1603 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +2303 books | — | 1/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 36.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 36.5 | Under 36.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada3 min ago | −105Best | −125Best |
| Bally Bet3 min ago | −114 | — |
| betPARX3 min ago | −114 | −127 |
| BetRivers3 min ago | −114 | −127 |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 5:39 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
36.5−110 → −114 since first seen


