Bryce Young

Carolina Panthers · QB · #9

CAR @ NO · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under263.5

Over 263.5 Pass+Rush Yards, typical price −1203 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Over 263.5 Pass+Rush Yards cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

at TB, 2026-01-03: 265, cleared, 37 attempts + carries
vs LAR, 2026-01-10: 288, cleared, 43 attempts + carries
vs CHI, 2026-09-13: 371, cleared, 39 attempts + carries
at ATL, 2026-09-20: 293, cleared, 37 attempts + carries
at CLE, 2026-09-27: 291, cleared, 48 attempts + carries
vs DET, 2026-10-04: 332, cleared, 44 attempts + carries
at PHI, 2026-10-18: 287, cleared, 42 attempts + carries
vs TB, 2026-10-25: 172, missed, 28 attempts + carries
at GB, 2026-10-29: 209, missed, 41 attempts + carries
vs DEN, 2026-11-08: 289, cleared, 40 attempts + carries

ClearedMissedThe 263.5 linePass attempts + carries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 178–340.4 pass+rush yards.

What's different on Sunday

Over 263.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Pass attempts + carries
Last 3: 36.3 attempts + carries · 2026: 39.9 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs DEN
Game lines
CAR +2 · total 48.5 (5 sportsbooks)
CAR's games this season closed at 45.1 on average (8 games)
NO injuries
Martin Emerson Jr. (CB, Questionable, 3.3 tackles)
A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10)

Splits

Over 263.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NO in his last 10; Over 263.5 cleared in 0 of 5 against NO on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs NO

Pass+Rush Yards: 212 in 31 attempts + carries, Dec 14, 2025 (away)

Over 263.5 hit in 0 of 5 games against NO on record

L10 · Over 263.5

Average: 279.7; +16.2 vs line
Median: 288.5; +25 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −120
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 54%; estimate · fair −115

Research, not a pick. At −120 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −115, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1753 books	—	8/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	8/10
−1203 books	−1212 books	8/10
+1103 books	—	7/10
+1953 books	—	2/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 263.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 263.5 Pass+Rush Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 263.5	Under 263.5
Bally Bet14 min ago	−120Best	—
betPARX14 min ago	−120Best	−121Best
BetRivers14 min ago	−120Best	−121Best

Prices as of 6:19 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

263.5

260.5 → 263.5 since first seen