Brock Purdy

San Francisco 49ers · QB · #13

SF @ DAL · Sun, Nov 15 4:25 PM

Over Under255.5

Under 255.5 Passing Yards, typical price −1143 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Under 255.5 Passing Yards hit in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

at PHI, 2026-01-11: 262, missed, 31 attempts
at SEA, 2026-01-17: 140, hit, 27 attempts
at LAR, 2026-09-10: 205, hit, 34 attempts
vs MIA, 2026-09-20: 287, missed, 22 attempts
vs ARI, 2026-09-27: 297, missed, 27 attempts
vs DEN, 2026-10-04: 218, hit, 30 attempts
at SEA, 2026-10-11: 189, hit, 29 attempts
vs WSH, 2026-10-19: 264, missed, 29 attempts
at ATL, 2026-10-25: 288, missed, 40 attempts
vs LV, 2026-11-08: 232, hit, 25 attempts

Under hitMissedThe 255.5 linePass attempts

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 176.8–292.1 passing yards.

What's different on Sunday

Under 255.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs quarterbacks
DAL allow 237.0 passing yards a game to quarterbacks: 16th most of 32
9 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 31.3 attempts · 2026: 29.5 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs LV
Game lines
SF −4 · total 56 (6 sportsbooks)
SF's games this season closed at 48.5 on average (8 games)

Splits

Under 255.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DAL in his last 10; Under 255.5 hit in 0 of 1 against DAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs DAL

Passing Yards: 260 in 26 attempts, Oct 27, 2024 (home)

Under 255.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against DAL on record

L10 · Under 255.5

Average: 238.2; −17.3 vs line
Median: 247; −8.5 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 55%; estimate · fair −123

Research, not a pick. At −109 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −123, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3054 books	—	4/10
−1434 books	—	5/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	5/10
−1153 books	−1143 books	5/10
−1133 books	−1172 books	5/10
+1334 books	—	7/10
+2454 books	—	10/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 255.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 255.5 Passing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 255.5	Under 255.5
Pinnacle4 min ago	−122	−109Best
FanDuel3 min ago	−114Best	−114
Bovada3 min ago	−115	−115
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:10 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

255.5

No move since first seen