Brian Thomas Jr.
JAX @ BAL · Thu, Nov 5 8:15 PM
What's different tonight
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTonightRest
3 days off since Nov 1 vs IND: a short week
Quarterback
Trevor Lawrence led JAX in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Over 0.5 with Lawrence at quarterback: 11 of 31; with another JAX quarterback: 4 of 8
Carries + targets
Last 3: 2.3 carries + targets · 2026: 3 (7 games)
Target share: 7% last 3 games · 10% over 7 games this season
Game lines
JAX −9.5 · total 40.5 (8 sportsbooks)
JAX's games this season closed at 44.8 on average (7 games)
Game log against Over 0.5
30%3 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 3 on the road).
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against BAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 0.3
- −0.2 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
- Price implies
- 18%
- at +450
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Carries + targets
- 3.5
- 10 games · 6.4 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +4505 books | pick'em only | 3/10 | |
| +55005 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +200001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada1 min ago | +500Best | — |
| FanDuel2 min ago | +500Best | — |
| Bally Bet1 min ago | +450 | — |
| betPARX1 min ago | +450 | — |
| BetRivers1 min ago | +450 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:39 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over +440 → +450 since first seen