Are you 21 or older?

dane.bet is sports betting research for adults 21 and older. It is information only, not a sportsbook: we take no bets.

Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

Brian Thomas Jr.

Jacksonville Jaguars · WR · #7

JAX @ BAL · Thu, Nov 5 8:15 PM
OverUnder1.5
—1 pick'em app, no priceUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • TonightRest

    3 days off since Nov 1 vs IND: a short week

  • Quarterback

    Trevor Lawrence led JAX in passing in 7 of 7 games this season

    Over 1.5 with Lawrence at quarterback: 30 of 31; with another JAX quarterback: 8 of 8

  • Defense vs wide receivers

    BAL allow 19.3 targets a game to wide receivers: 10th most of 32

    8 games

  • Targets

    Last 3: 2.3 targets · 2026: 3 (7 games)

    Target share: 7% last 3 games · 10% over 7 games this season

Game log against Over 1.5

90%9 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Targets cleared in 9 of his last 10 games (3 of 3 on the road).

  1. at IND, 2025-12-28: 7, cleared, 7 targets
  2. vs TEN, 2026-01-04: 5, cleared, 5 targets
  3. vs BUF, 2026-01-11: 2, cleared, 2 targets
  4. vs CLE, 2026-09-13: 3, cleared, 3 targets
  5. at DEN, 2026-09-20: 8, cleared, 8 targets
  6. vs NE, 2026-09-27: 1, missed, 1 targets
  7. at CIN, 2026-10-04: 2, cleared, 2 targets
  8. vs PHI, 2026-10-11: 3, cleared, 3 targets
  9. vs HOU, 2026-10-18: 2, cleared, 2 targets
  10. vs IND, 2026-11-01: 2, cleared, 2 targets
ClearedMissedThe 1.5 lineTargets

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against BAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 1.5

Average
3.5
+2 vs line
Median
2.5
+1 vs line
Hit rate
90%
9 of 10
Price implies
—
1 pick'em app, no price
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Targets
3.5
10 games · 6.2 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 1 pick'em app (a pick'em line, no price).

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
pick'em onlypick'em only9/10
Compare 1 pick'em app at 1.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Targets, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 1.5Under 1.5
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 5:15 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

No opening line kept for this market yet.

No line history recorded for this market yet.

Brian Thomas Jr.'s full game log and splits