Breece Hall

New York Jets · RB · #20

BUF @ NYJ · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under13.5

Over 13.5 Rushing Attempts, typical price −1133 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Over 13.5 Rushing Attempts cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 at home).

at BAL, 2025-11-23: 16, cleared, 16 carries
vs ATL, 2025-11-30: 19, cleared, 19 carries
vs MIA, 2025-12-07: 14, cleared, 14 carries
at JAX, 2025-12-14: 12, missed, 12 carries
at NO, 2025-12-21: 16, cleared, 16 carries
vs NE, 2025-12-28: 14, cleared, 14 carries
at TEN, 2026-09-13: 22, cleared, 22 carries
vs GB, 2026-09-20: 16, cleared, 16 carries
at DET, 2026-09-27: 13, missed, 13 carries
at KC, 2026-11-08: 15, cleared, 15 carries

ClearedMissedThe 13.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 9.8–20.1 rushing attempts.

What's different on Sunday

Over 13.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

7 of his 8 hits in the last 10 came before Hall missed 5 games. Since he came back: Over 13.5 in 1 of 1.

SunBack from an absence
Sunday's game is his 2nd back after missing 5 games in a row (Oct 4 – Nov 1)
Over 13.5 since: 1 of 1
Quarterback
Geno Smith led NYJ in passing in 9 of 9 games this season
Over 13.5 with Smith at quarterback: 3 of 4; with another NYJ quarterback: 22 of 41
Defense vs running backs
BUF allow 20.6 carries a game to running backs: 25th most of 32
8 games
Carries
Last 3: 14.7 carries · 2026: 16.5 (4 games)

Splits

Over 13.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against BUF in his last 10; Over 13.5 cleared in 1 of 4 against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs BUF

Hall didn't play the Jan 4 meeting; rushing attempts the last time Hall faced them: 10 (Sep 14, 2025)

Over 13.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against BUF on record

L10 · Over 13.5

Average: 15.7; +2.2 vs line
Median: 15.5; +2 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −113
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −147

Research, not a pick. At −113 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −147, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−7153 books	—	10/10
−2453 books	—	10/10
−1133 books	−1151 book	8/10
+1753 books	—	5/10
+3103 books	—	2/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 13.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 13.5 Rushing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 13.5	Under 13.5
Bally Bet5 min ago	−113Best	—
betPARX5 min ago	−113Best	−115Best
BetRivers5 min ago	−114	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:39 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

13.5

No move since first seen