Breece Hall

New York Jets · RB · #20

BUF @ NYJ · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under16.5

Over 16.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1134 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 16.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).

at BAL, 2025-11-23: 75, cleared, 4 targets
vs ATL, 2025-11-30: 8, missed, 2 targets
vs MIA, 2025-12-07: 0, missed, 1 targets
at JAX, 2025-12-14: 14, missed, 2 targets
at NO, 2025-12-21: 9, missed, 3 targets
vs NE, 2025-12-28: 18, cleared, 3 targets
at TEN, 2026-09-13: 16, missed, 2 targets
vs GB, 2026-09-20: 63, cleared, 5 targets
at DET, 2026-09-27: 23, cleared, 3 targets
at KC, 2026-11-08: 26, cleared, 4 targets

ClearedMissedThe 16.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 16.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Geno Smith led NYJ in passing in 9 of 9 games this season
Over 16.5 with Smith at quarterback: 3 of 4; with another NYJ quarterback: 23 of 40
Defense vs running backs
BUF allow 40.6 receiving yards a game to running backs: 7th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 4 targets · 2026: 3.5 (4 games)
Target share: 11% last 3 games · 10% over 4 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 at KC

Splits

Over 16.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against BUF in his last 10; Over 16.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs BUF

Hall didn't play the Jan 4 meeting; receiving yards the last time Hall faced them: 9 (Sep 14, 2025)

Over 16.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against BUF on record

L10 · Over 16.5

Average: 25.2; +8.7 vs line
Median: 17; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −113
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Targets: 2.9; 10 games · 3.2 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 16.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2454 books	—	7/10
−1741 book	—	6/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	6/10
−1134 books	−1153 books	5/10
−1141 book	−1141 book	4/10
+1174 books	—	4/10
+1461 book	—	3/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 16.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 16.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 16.5	Under 16.5
Bally Bet13 min ago	−112Best	—
betPARX13 min ago	−112Best	−115Best
BetRivers13 min ago	−113	−117
Bovada13 min ago	−115	−115Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:21 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

16.5

17.5 → 16.5 since first seen