Breece Hall

New York Jets · RB · #20

BUF @ NYJ · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Receptions, typical price +1235 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Receptions cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 at home).

at BAL, 2025-11-23: 4, cleared, 4 targets
vs ATL, 2025-11-30: 2, missed, 2 targets
vs MIA, 2025-12-07: 0, missed, 1 targets
at JAX, 2025-12-14: 2, missed, 2 targets
at NO, 2025-12-21: 2, missed, 3 targets
vs NE, 2025-12-28: 2, missed, 3 targets
at TEN, 2026-09-13: 2, missed, 2 targets
vs GB, 2026-09-20: 5, cleared, 5 targets
at DET, 2026-09-27: 3, cleared, 3 targets
at KC, 2026-11-08: 3, cleared, 4 targets

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

SunDefense vs running backs
BUF allow 5.8 receptions a game to running backs: 2nd most of 32
8 games
Quarterback
Geno Smith led NYJ in passing in 9 of 9 games this season
Over 2.5 with Smith at quarterback: 3 of 4; with another NYJ quarterback: 21 of 40
Targets
Last 3: 4 targets · 2026: 3.5 (4 games)
Target share: 11% last 3 games · 10% over 4 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 at KC

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against BUF in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 2 of 4 against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs BUF

Hall didn't play the Jan 4 meeting; receptions the last time Hall faced them: 2 (Sep 14, 2025)

Over 2.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against BUF on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 2.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 2; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 45%; at +123
Books’ fair: 47%; margin removed
Targets: 2.9; 10 games · 3.2 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 47%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−16673 books	—	9/10
−2504 books	—	9/10
+1235 books	−1253 books	4/10
+2954 books	—	2/10
+7004 books	—	1/10
+7501 book	—	0/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Bally Bet15 min ago	+123Best	—
betPARX15 min ago	+123Best	−159
BetRivers15 min ago	+123Best	—
Bovada15 min ago	−105	−125
FanDuel15 min ago	−122	−106Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:07 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over: +115 → +123 since first seen