Braelon Allen

New York Jets · RB · #0

NYJ @ KC · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under33.5

Over 33.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1103 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 33.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).

at TB, 2025-09-21: 30, missed, 6 carries
at MIA, 2025-09-29: 26, missed, 4 carries
at TEN, 2026-09-13: 40, cleared, 10 carries
vs GB, 2026-09-20: 7, missed, 5 carries
at DET, 2026-09-27: 14, missed, 4 carries
at CHI, 2026-10-04: 59, cleared, 14 carries
vs CLE, 2026-10-11: 116, cleared, 24 carries
at NE, 2026-10-18: 78, cleared, 17 carries
vs MIA, 2026-10-25: 104, cleared, 17 carries
vs LV, 2026-11-01: 147, cleared, 21 carries

ClearedMissedThe 33.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 1.4–129.1 rushing yards.

What's different on Sunday

Over 33.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

SunCarries
Last 3: 18.3 carries · 2026: 14 (8 games) · up 31%
Quarterback
Geno Smith led NYJ in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 33.5 with Smith at quarterback: 6 of 8; with another NYJ quarterback: 3 of 21
Defense vs running backs
KC allow 70.3 rushing yards a game to running backs: 29th most of 32
7 games
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs LV

Splits

Over 33.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against KC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 33.5

Average: 62.1; +28.6 vs line
Median: 49.5; +16 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 52%; at −110
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −156

Research, not a pick. At −110 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −156, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2051 book	—	8/10
−1524 books	—	7/10
−1141 book	−1141 book	6/10
−1103 books	−1202 books	6/10
−1101 book	−1201 book	6/10
+1404 books	—	6/10
+2604 books	—	5/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 33.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 33.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 33.5	Under 33.5
Bally Bet6 min ago	−110Best	—
betPARX4 min ago	−110Best	−118Best
BetRivers6 min ago	−112	−120
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:22 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

33.5

32.5 → 33.5 since first seen