Braelon Allen

New York Jets · RB · #0

NYJ @ KC · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under9.5

Over 9.5 Rushing Attempts, typical price +1023 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 9.5 Rushing Attempts cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).

at TB, 2025-09-21: 6, missed, 6 carries
at MIA, 2025-09-29: 4, missed, 4 carries
at TEN, 2026-09-13: 10, cleared, 10 carries
vs GB, 2026-09-20: 5, missed, 5 carries
at DET, 2026-09-27: 4, missed, 4 carries
at CHI, 2026-10-04: 14, cleared, 14 carries
vs CLE, 2026-10-11: 24, cleared, 24 carries
at NE, 2026-10-18: 17, cleared, 17 carries
vs MIA, 2026-10-25: 17, cleared, 17 carries
vs LV, 2026-11-01: 21, cleared, 21 carries

ClearedMissedThe 9.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 3.8–22.3 rushing attempts.

What's different on Sunday

Over 9.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

SunCarries
Last 3: 18.3 carries · 2026: 14 (8 games) · up 31%
Quarterback
Geno Smith led NYJ in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 9.5 with Smith at quarterback: 6 of 8; with another NYJ quarterback: 3 of 21
Defense vs running backs
KC allow 21.6 carries a game to running backs: 24th most of 32
7 games
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs LV

Splits

Over 9.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against KC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 9.5

Average: 12.2; +2.7 vs line
Median: 12; +2.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 50%; at +102
Books’ fair: 47%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −143

Research, not a pick. At +102 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −143, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2863 books	—	6/10
+1023 books	−1321 book	6/10
+2453 books	—	5/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 9.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 9.5 Rushing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 9.5	Under 9.5
Bally Bet4 min ago	+102Best	—
betPARX4 min ago	+102Best	−132Best
BetRivers3 min ago	+100	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:15 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

9.5

No move since first seen