Bo Nix

Denver Broncos · QB · #10

DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Passing TDs, typical price +1085 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different on Sunday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs quarterbacks
CAR allow 1.43 passing touchdowns a game to quarterbacks: 14th most of 32
7 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 29.3 attempts · 2026: 31.3 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs KC
Game lines
DEN −3 · total 44 (8 sportsbooks)
DEN's games this season closed at 43.8 on average (8 games)

30%3 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Passing TDs cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (0 of 4 on the road).

vs LAC, 2026-01-04: 0, missed, 23 attempts
vs BUF, 2026-01-17: 3, cleared, 46 attempts
at KC, 2026-09-14: 1, missed, 28 attempts
vs JAX, 2026-09-20: 1, missed, 31 attempts
vs LAR, 2026-09-27: 2, cleared, 34 attempts
at SF, 2026-10-04: 1, missed, 42 attempts
at LAC, 2026-10-11: 1, missed, 27 attempts
vs SEA, 2026-10-15: 0, missed, 27 attempts
at ARI, 2026-10-25: 1, missed, 29 attempts
vs KC, 2026-11-01: 2, cleared, 32 attempts

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linePass attempts

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CAR in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against CAR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs CAR

Passing TDs: 3 in 37 attempts, Oct 27, 2024 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against CAR on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 48%; at +108
Books’ fair: 45%; margin removed
Pass attempts: 31.9; 10 games · 36.6 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 45%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5604 books	—	8/10
+1085 books	−1414 books	3/10
+4304 books	—	1/10
+12601 book	—	0/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Passing TDs, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Bally Bet2 min ago	+110Best	—
betPARX2 min ago	+110Best	−141
BetRivers2 min ago	+108	−143
Bovada2 min ago	+105	−135Best
FanDuel2 min ago	+102	−136
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:53 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over +110 → +108 since first seen