Bo Nix

Denver Broncos · QB · #10

DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under20.5

Over 20.5 Completions, typical price −1224 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 20.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs quarterbacks
CAR allow 21.6 completions a game to quarterbacks: 15th most of 32
7 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 29.3 attempts · 2026: 31.3 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs KC
Game lines
DEN −3 · total 44 (7 sportsbooks)
DEN's games this season closed at 43.8 on average (8 games)

30%3 of 10L10

Over 20.5 Completions cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 on the road).

vs LAC, 2026-01-04: 14, missed, 23 attempts
vs BUF, 2026-01-17: 26, cleared, 46 attempts
at KC, 2026-09-14: 17, missed, 28 attempts
vs JAX, 2026-09-20: 22, cleared, 31 attempts
vs LAR, 2026-09-27: 17, missed, 34 attempts
at SF, 2026-10-04: 25, cleared, 42 attempts
at LAC, 2026-10-11: 16, missed, 27 attempts
vs SEA, 2026-10-15: 17, missed, 27 attempts
at ARI, 2026-10-25: 15, missed, 29 attempts
vs KC, 2026-11-01: 20, missed, 32 attempts

ClearedMissedThe 20.5 linePass attempts

Splits

Over 20.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CAR in his last 10; Over 20.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against CAR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs CAR

Completions: 28 in 37 attempts, Oct 27, 2024 (home)

Over 20.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against CAR on record

L10 · Over 20.5

Average: 18.9; −1.6 vs line
Median: 17; −3.5 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −122
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Pass attempts: 31.9; 10 games · 36.6 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 20.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−6253 books	—	4/10
−1803 books	—	4/10
−1224 books	−1162 books	3/10
+1203 books	—	3/10
+2303 books	—	2/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 20.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 20.5 Completions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 20.5	Under 20.5
Bovada3 min ago	−105Best	−125
Bally Bet3 min ago	−122	—
betPARX3 min ago	−122	−107Best
BetRivers3 min ago	−124	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:46 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

20.5

21.5 → 20.5 since first seen