What's different tonight
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs quarterbacks
CAR allow 1.43 passing touchdowns a game to quarterbacks: 14th most of 32
7 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 29.3 attempts · 2026: 31.3 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs KC
Game lines
DEN −3 · total 44 (7 sportsbooks)
DEN's games this season closed at 43.8 on average (8 games)
Game log against Over 1.5
30%3 of 10L10
Over 1.5 Passing TDs cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (0 of 4 on the road).
Count only
Over 1.5 · L10Last vs CAR
Passing TDs: 3 in 37 attempts, Oct 27, 2024 (home)
Over 1.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against CAR on record
L10 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 1.2
- −0.3 vs line
- Median
- 1
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
- Price implies
- 50%
- at +102
- Books’ fair
- 46%
- margin removed
- Pass attempts
- 31.9
- 10 games · 36.6 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 46%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −5801 book | — | 8/10 | |
| +1021 book | −1361 book | 3/10 | |
| +3901 book | — | 1/10 | |
| +12001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel7 min ago | +102Best | −136Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 10:21 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Over No move since first seen