Ashton Jeanty
LV @ SF · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM
Game log against Over 28.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 28.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).
What's different on Sunday
Over 28.5 · facts from past games, not a pickSunCarries
Last 3: 6.7 carries · 2026: 13.5 (8 games) · down 50%
Quarterback
Kirk Cousins led LV in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 28.5 with Cousins at quarterback: 4 of 8; with another LV quarterback: 15 of 17
Defense vs running backs
SF allow 78.6 rushing yards a game to running backs: 24th most of 32
7 games
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at NYJ
Splits
Over 28.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against SF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 28.5
- Average
- 48.4
- +19.9 vs line
- Median
- 52
- +23.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −120
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Carries
- 15
- 10 games · 15.6 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 28.5 51%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3354 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1461 book | — | 7/10 | |
| −1142 books | −1142 books | 6/10 | |
| −1201 book | −1101 book | 6/10 | |
| −1224 books | — | 6/10 | |
| −1133 books | −1172 books | 6/10 | |
| +1654 books | — | 6/10 |
Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 28.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 28.5 | Under 28.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada12 min ago | −120Best | −110Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 4:37 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
28.526.5 → 28.5 since first seen