Adam Trautman
DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
What's different tonight
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Bo Nix led DEN in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 0.5 with Nix at quarterback: 23 of 30; with another DEN quarterback: 8 of 9
Defense vs tight ends
CAR allow 4.9 receptions a game to tight ends: 22nd most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 1.3 targets · 2026: 1.8 (4 games)
Target share: 4% last 3 games · 5% over 4 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs KC
Game log against Over 0.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Receptions cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 on the road).
Count only
Over 0.5 · L10Last vs CAR
Receptions: 4 in 4 targets, Oct 27, 2024 (home)
Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against CAR on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 1.4
- +0.9 vs line
- Median
- 2
- +1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- —
- 1 pick'em app, no price
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Targets
- 2.1
- 10 games · 2.1 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 1 pick'em app (a pick'em line, no price).
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 7/10 |
Compare 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:58 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.