Adam Trautman

Denver Broncos · TE · #82

DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under5.5

—2 pick'em apps, no priceUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 5.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Bo Nix led DEN in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 5.5 with Nix at quarterback: 16 of 30; with another DEN quarterback: 8 of 9
Defense vs tight ends
CAR allow 47.3 receiving yards a game to tight ends: 21st most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 1.3 targets · 2026: 1.8 (4 games)
Target share: 4% last 3 games · 5% over 4 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs KC

70%7 of 10L10

Over 5.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 on the road).

vs KC, 2025-11-16: 8, cleared, 1 targets
at WSH, 2025-11-30: 47, cleared, 4 targets
at LV, 2025-12-07: 17, cleared, 2 targets
vs JAX, 2025-12-21: 14, cleared, 3 targets
at KC, 2025-12-25: 24, cleared, 2 targets
vs BUF, 2026-01-17: 0, missed, 2 targets
at KC, 2026-09-14: 10, cleared, 3 targets
at SF, 2026-10-04: 0, missed, 1 targets
at ARI, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 1 targets
vs KC, 2026-11-01: 30, cleared, 2 targets

ClearedMissedThe 5.5 lineTargets

Splits

Over 5.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CAR in his last 10; Over 5.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against CAR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs CAR

Receiving Yards: 85 in 4 targets, Oct 27, 2024 (home)

Over 5.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against CAR on record

L10 · Over 5.5

Average: 15; +9.5 vs line
Median: 12; +6.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: —; 2 pick'em apps, no price
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Targets: 2.1; 10 games · 2.1 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 2 pick'em apps (a pick'em line, no price).

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	pick'em only	pick'em only	7/10

Compare 2 pick'em apps at 5.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 5.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 5.5	Under 5.5
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:30 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

5.5

5.5 → 5.5 since we started recording it