Aaron Jones Sr.
MIN @ GB · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM
Game log against Over 0.5
30%3 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 on the road).
What's different on Sunday
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickSunQuarterback
Kyler Murray: Doubtful (hamstring). He led MIN in passing in 5 of 8 games this season
Also led: Carson Wentz 3 (Questionable, ankle, led the last game). Over 0.5 with Murray at quarterback: 1 of 5; with another MIN quarterback: 11 of 33
SunCarries + targets
Last 3: 7.3 carries + targets · 2026: 17.1 (8 games) · down 57%
Target share: 5% last 3 games · 11% over 7 games this season
Rest
5 days off since Nov 9 vs BUF
Game lines
MIN +3 · total 42 (7 sportsbooks)
MIN's games this season closed at 43.6 on average (8 games)
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
Last vs GB
Total Touchdowns: 1 in 13 carries + targets, Sep 13 (home)
Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against GB on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 0.3
- −0.2 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
- Price implies
- 31%
- at +225
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Carries + targets
- 18.3
- 10 games · 14.4 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +2255 books | pick'em only | 3/10 | |
| +19005 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +90003 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel16 min ago | +280Best | — |
| Bovada16 min ago | +255 | — |
| Bally Bet16 min ago | +225 | — |
| betPARX16 min ago | +225 | — |
| BetRivers16 min ago | +225 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:05 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over: +280 → +225 since first seen