Aaron Jones Sr.
MIN @ GB · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM
Game log against Over 9.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 9.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).
What's different on Sunday
Over 9.5 · facts from past games, not a pickSunQuarterback
Kyler Murray: Doubtful (hamstring). He led MIN in passing in 5 of 8 games this season
Also led: Carson Wentz 3 (Questionable, ankle, led the last game). Over 9.5 with Murray at quarterback: 3 of 5; with another MIN quarterback: 25 of 32
SunTargets
Last 3: 1.3 targets · 2026: 3.1 (7 games) · down 58%
Target share: 5% last 3 games · 11% over 7 games this season
Defense vs running backs
GB allow 35.0 receiving yards a game to running backs: 11th most of 32
9 games
Rest
5 days off since Nov 9 vs BUF
Splits
Over 9.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
Last vs GB
Receiving Yards: 0 in 1 targets, Sep 13 (home)
Over 9.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against GB on record
L10 · Over 9.5
- Average
- 14.4
- +4.9 vs line
- Median
- 9
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 56%
- at −127
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 3.2
- 10 games · 3.4 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 9.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2701 book | — | 7/10 | |
| −1276 books | −1143 books | 5/10 | |
| −1123 books | −1182 books | 4/10 | |
| +1621 book | — | 4/10 | |
| +2404 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +4001 book | — | 3/10 | |
| +5801 book | — | 3/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 9.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 9.5 | Under 9.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada4 min ago | −110Best | −120 |
| FanDuel4 min ago | −114 | −114Best |
| Pinnacle5 min ago | −114 | −114Best |
| Bally Bet4 min ago | −127 | — |
| betPARX4 min ago | −127 | — |
| BetRivers4 min ago | −127 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:10 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
9.5−114 → −127 since first seen