Zion Williamson
MIN @ NO · Today 8:00 PMGame log against Over 22.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 22.5 Pts+Ast cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).
What's different today
Over 22.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Over 22.5 without him: 11 of 13; with him: 35 of 57 (70 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 33.2 min · 2026–27: 33 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 vs UTAH
Game lines
NO +3.5 · total 230.5 (9 sportsbooks)
NO's games this season closed at 236.9 on average (8 games)
Splits
Over 22.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIN in his last 10; Over 22.5 cleared in 5 of 5 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 22.5 · L10Jeremiah FearsG
Dejounte MurrayG
Trey Murphy IIIF
Yves MissiCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MIN
Williamson didn't play the Apr 12 meeting; pts+ast the last time Williamson faced them: 30 (Feb 6)
Over 22.5 hit in 5 of 5 games against MIN on record
L10 · Over 22.5
- Average
- 22.8
- +0.3 vs line
- Median
- 24.5
- +2 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 54%
- at −117
- Books’ fair
- 48%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 32.1
- 10 games · 29.7 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 22.5 48%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2255 books | — | 6/10 | |
| −1651 book | +1251 book | 6/10 | |
| −1302 books | −1062 books | 6/10 | |
| −1176 books | −1254 books | 6/10 | |
| +1285 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +3255 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +10002 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 22.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 22.5 | Under 22.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel2 min ago | −104Best | −128 |
| Bovada5 min ago | −105 | −125 |
| DraftKings5 min ago | −106 | −124 |
| Bally Bet5 min ago | −117 | — |
| betPARX3 min ago | −117 | −117Best |
| BetRivers2 min ago | −117 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:21 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
22.521.5 → 22.5 since first seen


