Wendell Carter Jr.

Orlando Magic · C · #34

ORL @ PHX · Live

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Steals, typical price −1592 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

100%5 of 5L20 · Without Banchero

Over 0.5 Steals cleared in 5 of 5 games without Paolo Banchero (his last 20 games).

at DAL, 2026-04-03: 0, missed, 36 min (not counted)
at NO, 2026-04-05: 0, missed, 32 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-04-06: 1, cleared, 18 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-04-08: 0, missed, 20 min (not counted)
at CHI, 2026-04-10: 0, missed, 25 min (not counted)
at BOS, 2026-04-12: 0, missed, 31 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-04-19: 2, cleared, 37 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-04-22: 1, cleared, 24 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-04-25: 0, missed, 37 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-04-27: 0, missed, 35 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-04-29: 1, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-05-01: 0, missed, 32 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-05-03: 0, missed, 38 min (not counted)
vs ATL, 2026-10-21: 1, cleared, 31 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-10-23: 0, missed, 29 min (not counted)
at NY, 2026-10-25: 1, cleared, 33 min
at TOR, 2026-10-28: 1, cleared, 26 min
at TOR, 2026-10-30: 2, cleared, 39 min
vs BOS, 2026-11-01: 2, cleared, 35 min
vs WSH, 2026-11-02: 1, cleared, 34 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–2 steals.

What's different yesterday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayTeammate out
Paolo Banchero: Out (ankle)
Over 0.5 without him: 11 of 14; with him: 43 of 78 (92 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jalen Suggs: Out (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 16 of 27; with him: 38 of 65 (92 games as teammates)
Defense vs centers
PHX allow 1.0 steals a game to centers: 11th most of 30
6 games
Minutes
Last 5: 33.4 min · 2025–26: 29.7 (85 games)

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against PHX in his last 20; Over 0.5 cleared in 2 of 3 against PHX on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

Paolo BancheroFOut
Franz WagnerF
Desmond BaneG
Jalen SuggsGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Magic count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHX

Steals: 2 in 28 min, Mar 31 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against PHX on record

L20 · Without Banchero · Over 0.5

Average: 1.4; +0.9 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 100%; 5 of 5
Price implies: 61%; at −159
Books’ fair: 53%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −139

Research, not a pick. At −132 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −139, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Banchero

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−1592 books	+1001 book	5/5
+2802 books	—	2/5
+11401 book	—	0/5
+26001 book	—	0/5

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings3 hr ago	−132Best	+100Best
Bally Bet3 hr ago	−159	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: −150 → −159 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+0.6%

Wendell Carter Jr.'s full game log and splits

This page last updated 9:13 PM ET.