Wendell Carter Jr.
ORL @ PHX · Today 9:00 PM
Game log against Under 23.5
80%4 of 5L20 · Without Banchero
Under 23.5 Pts+Reb+Ast hit in 4 of 5 games without Paolo Banchero (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 11.3–30 pts+reb+ast.
What's different today
Under 23.5 · facts from past games, not a pick3 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Paolo Banchero playing; Banchero is out today. Without him: Under 23.5 in 11 of 14.
TodayTeammate out
Paolo Banchero: Out (ankle)
Under 23.5 without him: 11 of 14; with him: 50 of 78 (92 games as teammates)
TodayDefense vs centers
PHX allow 40.5 points + rebounds + assists a game to centers: the most of 30
6 games
Teammate out
Jalen Suggs: Out (knee)
Under 23.5 without him: 14 of 27; with him: 47 of 65 (92 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 33.4 min · 2025–26: 29.7 (85 games)
Splits
Under 23.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderNo game against PHX in his last 20; Under 23.5 hit in 2 of 3 against PHX on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 23.5 · L20Paolo BancheroFOut
Franz WagnerF
Desmond BaneG
Jalen SuggsGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Magic count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs PHX
Pts+Reb+Ast: 27 in 28 min, Mar 31 (home)
Under 23.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against PHX on record
L20 · Without Banchero · Under 23.5
- Average
- 19.4
- −4.1 vs line
- Median
- 17
- −6.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 4 of 5
- Price implies
- 57%
- at −130
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 59%
- estimate · fair −146
Research, not a pick. At −120 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −146, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L20 · Without Banchero| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2151 book | +1601 book | 3/5 | |
| −1701 book | +1301 book | 4/5 | |
| −1352 books | −1022 books | 4/5 | |
| −1045 books | −1304 books | 4/5 | |
| +1185 books | −1451 book | 4/5 | |
| +3105 books | — | 5/5 | |
| +8402 books | — | 5/5 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 23.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 23.5 | Under 23.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada8 min ago | −110 | −120Best |
| DraftKings3 min ago | −105 | −125 |
| betPARX1 min ago | −104Best | −130 |
| BetRivers1 min ago | −104Best | −130 |
| Bally Bet3 min ago | −104Best | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
23.522.5 → 23.5 since first seen