Wendell Carter Jr.

Orlando Magic · C · #34

ORL @ PHX · Today 9:00 PM

Over Under10.5

Under 10.5 Reb+Ast, typical price −1225 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%3 of 5L20 · Without Banchero

Under 10.5 Reb+Ast hit in 3 of 5 games without Paolo Banchero (his last 20 games).

at DAL, 2026-04-03: 9, hit, 36 min (not counted)
at NO, 2026-04-05: 6, hit, 32 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-04-06: 6, hit, 18 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-04-08: 8, hit, 20 min (not counted)
at CHI, 2026-04-10: 6, hit, 25 min (not counted)
at BOS, 2026-04-12: 10, hit, 31 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-04-19: 12, missed, 37 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-04-22: 5, hit, 24 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-04-25: 20, missed, 37 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-04-27: 15, missed, 35 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-04-29: 8, hit, 34 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-05-01: 2, hit, 32 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-05-03: 7, hit, 38 min (not counted)
vs ATL, 2026-10-21: 7, hit, 31 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-10-23: 10, hit, 29 min (not counted)
at NY, 2026-10-25: 12, missed, 33 min
at TOR, 2026-10-28: 13, missed, 26 min
at TOR, 2026-10-30: 8, hit, 39 min
vs BOS, 2026-11-01: 10, hit, 35 min
vs WSH, 2026-11-02: 9, hit, 34 min

Under hitMissedThe 10.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 5–13.9 reb+ast.

What's different today

Under 10.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Paolo Banchero: Out (ankle)
Under 10.5 without him: 8 of 14; with him: 52 of 78 (92 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jalen Suggs: Out (knee)
Under 10.5 without him: 16 of 27; with him: 44 of 65 (92 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 33.4 min · 2025–26: 29.7 (85 games)
Rest
2 days off since Nov 2 vs WSH

Splits

Under 10.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against PHX in his last 20; Under 10.5 hit in 1 of 3 against PHX on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 10.5 · L20

Paolo BancheroFOut
Franz WagnerF
Desmond BaneG
Jalen SuggsGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Magic count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHX

Reb+Ast: 12 in 28 min, Mar 31 (home)

Under 10.5 hit in 1 of 3 games against PHX on record

L20 · Without Banchero · Under 10.5

Average: 10.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 10; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 3 of 5
Price implies: 55%; at −122
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −137

Research, not a pick. At −106 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −137, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Banchero

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−50001 book	—	0/5
−4501 book	—	0/5
−1654 books	—	2/5
−1085 books	−1223 books	3/5
+1351 book	—	3/5
+4204 books	—	5/5
+13001 book	—	5/5

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 10.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 10.5 Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 10.5	Under 10.5
FanDuel1 min ago	−125	−106Best
DraftKings2 min ago	−108Best	−122
betPARX2 min ago	−108Best	−125
Bally Bet2 min ago	−108Best	—
BetRivers2 min ago	−108Best	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:50 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

10.5

Under: −112 → −122 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+0.6%

Wendell Carter Jr.'s full game log and splits