Wendell Carter Jr.

Orlando Magic · C · #34

ORL @ PHX · Today 9:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1603 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%2 of 5L20 · Without Banchero

Over 0.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 2 of 5 games without Paolo Banchero (his last 20 games).

at DAL, 2026-04-03: 2, cleared, 36 min (not counted)
at NO, 2026-04-05: 0, missed, 32 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-04-06: 1, cleared, 18 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-04-08: 0, missed, 20 min (not counted)
at CHI, 2026-04-10: 0, missed, 25 min (not counted)
at BOS, 2026-04-12: 0, missed, 31 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-04-19: 1, cleared, 37 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-04-22: 0, missed, 24 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-04-25: 0, missed, 37 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-04-27: 1, cleared, 35 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-04-29: 1, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-05-01: 1, cleared, 32 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-05-03: 1, cleared, 38 min (not counted)
vs ATL, 2026-10-21: 1, cleared, 31 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-10-23: 3, cleared, 29 min (not counted)
at NY, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 33 min
at TOR, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 26 min
at TOR, 2026-10-30: 1, cleared, 39 min
vs BOS, 2026-11-01: 1, cleared, 35 min
vs WSH, 2026-11-02: 0, missed, 34 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 3-pointers made.

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

5 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Paolo Banchero playing; Banchero is out today. Without him: Over 0.5 in 8 of 14.

TodayTeammate out
Paolo Banchero: Out (ankle)
Over 0.5 without him: 8 of 14; with him: 48 of 78 (92 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jalen Suggs: Out (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 17 of 27; with him: 39 of 65 (92 games as teammates)
Defense vs centers
PHX allow 0.8 threes made a game to centers: 13th most of 30
6 games
Minutes
Last 5: 33.4 min · 2025–26: 29.7 (85 games)

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against PHX in his last 20; Over 0.5 cleared in 1 of 3 against PHX on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

Paolo BancheroFOut
Franz WagnerF
Desmond BaneG
Jalen SuggsGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Magic count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHX

3-Pointers Made: 1 in 28 min, Mar 31 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 3 games against PHX on record

L20 · Without Banchero · Over 0.5

Average: 0.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 2 of 5
Price implies: 62%; at −160
Books’ fair: 57%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −131

Research, not a pick. At −158 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −131, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Banchero

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−1603 books	+1202 books	2/5
+3023 books	—	0/5
+10403 books	—	0/5
+24002 books	—	0/5
+40001 book	—	0/5

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings3 min ago	−158Best	+120Best
Bovada3 min ago	−160	+120Best
FanDuel3 min ago	−162	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:30 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

−164 → −160 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+0.6%

Wendell Carter Jr.'s full game log and splits