VJ Edgecombe

Philadelphia 76ers · G · #77

CHI @ PHIBulls @ 76ers · Mon, Nov 2 7:30 PM ET

The line

Under 1.5 Steals

−2154 sportsbooksbest −186

Game log

Under 1.5

Under 1.5 Steals hit in 8 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

at NY: 1, hit
at NY: 1, hit
vs NY: 2, missed
vs NY: 0, hit
at NY: 1, hit
vs CLE: 3, missed
vs MIL: 1, hit
at IND: 1, hit
vs NY: 0, hit
at CHA: 1, hit

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 steals.

Home and away

L10 · Under 1.5

Hometonight

60%

3 of 5

Away

100%

5 of 5

L10 · Under 1.5 Steals

Average: 1.1; −0.4 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 68%; −215, 4 sportsbooks
Market’s fair: 64%; margin removed
Our chance: 68%; estimate · fair −211

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Research, not a pick. At −186 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −211, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
FanDuel6 hr ago	+138	−186Best
betPARX6 hr ago	+180Best	−250
Bally Bet6 hr ago	+180Best	—
BetRivers6 hr ago	+180Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price