VJ Edgecombe
CHI @ PHI · Mon, Nov 2 7:30 PM
Game log against Over 8.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 8.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (5 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 5.6–15.3 reb+ast.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 8.5
- Average
- 9.8
- +1.3 vs line
- Median
- 10.5
- +2 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 57%
- at −134
- Books’ fair
- 54%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 62%
- estimate · fair −166
Research, not a pick. At −132 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −166, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −16673 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −1344 books | +1022 books | 7/10 | |
| +1183 books | — | 6/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 8.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 8.5 | Under 8.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel9 hr ago | −132Best | +104Best |
| Bally Bet10 hr ago | −134 | — |
| betPARX10 hr ago | −134 | +100 |
| BetRivers9 hr ago | −134 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
8.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+4%
This page last updated 7:37 PM ET.