Tristan da Silva

Orlando Magic · F · #23

ORL @ PHX · Today 9:00 PM

Over Under11.5

Over 11.5 Points, typical price −1145 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%3 of 5L20 · Without Banchero

Over 11.5 Points cleared in 3 of 5 games without Paolo Banchero (his last 20 games).

at DAL, 2026-04-03: 19, cleared, 29 min (not counted)
at NO, 2026-04-05: 2, missed, 18 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-04-06: 12, cleared, 33 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-04-08: 12, cleared, 20 min (not counted)
at CHI, 2026-04-10: 2, missed, 21 min (not counted)
at BOS, 2026-04-12: 8, missed, 24 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-04-19: 7, missed, 21 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-04-22: 3, missed, 17 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-04-25: 0, missed, 9 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-04-27: 6, missed, 14 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-04-29: 3, missed, 16 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-05-01: 10, missed, 23 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-05-03: 0, missed, 8 min (not counted)
vs ATL, 2026-10-21: 14, cleared, 28 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-10-23: 5, missed, 29 min (not counted)
at NY, 2026-10-25: 19, cleared, 27 min
at TOR, 2026-10-28: 20, cleared, 31 min
at TOR, 2026-10-30: 8, missed, 23 min
vs BOS, 2026-11-01: 23, cleared, 35 min
vs WSH, 2026-11-02: 10, missed, 32 min

ClearedMissedThe 11.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 11.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Paolo Banchero: Out (ankle)
Over 11.5 without him: 8 of 15; with him: 28 of 76 (91 games as teammates)
TodayDefense vs forwards
PHX allow 31.8 points a game to forwards: the fewest of 30
6 games
TodayMinutes
Last 5: 29.6 min · 2025–26: 23.9 (84 games) · up 24%
Teammate out
Jalen Suggs: Out (knee)
Over 11.5 without him: 12 of 24; with him: 24 of 67 (91 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 11.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against PHX in his last 20; Over 11.5 cleared in 0 of 4 against PHX on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 11.5 · L20

Paolo BancheroFOut
Franz WagnerF
Desmond BaneG
Jalen SuggsGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Magic count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHX

Points: 9 in 25 min, Mar 31 (home)

Over 11.5 hit in 0 of 4 games against PHX on record

L20 · Without Banchero · Over 11.5

Average: 16; +4.5 vs line
Median: 19; +7.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 3 of 5
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Minutes: 29.6; 5 games · 23.9 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 11.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Banchero

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−3201 book	—	4/5
−2005 books	—	4/5
−1741 book	—	3/5
−1145 books	−1182 books	3/5
−1013 books	−1293 books	3/5
+1434 books	—	3/5
+1602 books	—	3/5

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 11.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 11.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 11.5	Under 11.5
Bally Bet4 min ago	−114Best	—
betPARX4 min ago	−114Best	−118Best
BetRivers4 min ago	−114Best	−118Best
FanDuel4 min ago	−128	—
DraftKings4 min ago	−133	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

11.5

12.5 → 11.5 since first seen

Tristan da Silva's full game log and splits