Trevon Brazile
POR @ DEN · Mon, Nov 2 9:00 PM
Game log against Over 0.5
60%3 of 5L5
Over 0.5 Steals cleared in 3 of his last 5 games (1 of 2 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 steals.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L5 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 0.6
- +0.1 vs line
- Median
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 3 of 5
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −112
- Books’ fair
- 49%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 53%
- estimate · fair −111
Research, not a pick. At −112 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −111, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L5| Line | Over | Under | L5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1124 books | −1211 book | 3/5 | |
| +3904 books | — | 0/5 | |
| +10001 book | — | 0/5 | |
| +24001 book | — | 0/5 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet26 hr ago | −112Best | — |
| betPARX26 hr ago | −112Best | −121Best |
| BetRivers26 hr ago | −112Best | — |
| DraftKings26 hr ago | −148 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+2%
This page last updated 9:07 PM ET.