Trevon Brazile
POR @ DEN · Mon, Nov 2 9:00 PM
Game log against Over 4.5
60%3 of 5L5
Over 4.5 Rebounds cleared in 3 of his last 5 games (1 of 2 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–11.4 rebounds.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L5 · Over 4.5
- Average
- 6.6
- +2.1 vs line
- Median
- 8
- +3.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 3 of 5
- Price implies
- 52%
- at −107
- Books’ fair
- 47%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 53%
- estimate · fair −111
Research, not a pick. At +114 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −111, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L5| Line | Over | Under | L5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −14304 books | — | 4/5 | |
| −4306 books | — | 4/5 | |
| −2006 books | +1851 book | 3/5 | |
| −1077 books | −1266 books | 3/5 | |
| +1636 books | −2151 book | 3/5 | |
| +2676 books | — | 3/5 | |
| +4305 books | — | 3/5 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 4.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 4.5 | Under 4.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel9 hr ago | +114Best | −146 |
| Pinnacle9 hr ago | +110 | −147 |
| DraftKings9 hr ago | −105 | −125 |
| Bally Bet9 hr ago | −107 | — |
| betPARX9 hr ago | −107 | −125 |
| BetRivers9 hr ago | −108 | −127 |
| Bovada9 hr ago | −120 | −110Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
4.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+2%
This page last updated 9:07 PM ET.